Economic model system of chronic diseases in Australia: a novel approach initially focusing on diabetes and cardiovascular disease. (13th October 2010)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Walker, Agnes; Butler, James R.G.; Colagiuri, Stephen
• Is Part Of: International journal of simulation and process modelling. Volume 6:Number 2(2010)
• Page Start: 137
• Page End: 151
• Publication Date: 2010-10-13
• Subjects: multiple chronic diseases -- microsimulation modelling -- economic analysis -- health policy interventions -- diabetes -- CVD -- cardiovascular disease -- economic modelling -- simulation -- Australia; Management -- Computer simulation -- Periodicals; Mathematical models -- Periodicals; Operations research -- Periodicals; Simulation methods -- Periodicals; 003.05
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1740-2123

Abstract

Chronic diseases affect around 80% of older Australians, are main causes of premature death, and account for 70% of health expenditures. The novel features, building and validation of an Australian prototype model-system which simulates interventions that target several chronic diseases are described. Chronic disease progression models are linked to a population-wide microsimulation projection model that accounts for demographic, socio-economic and health characteristics, comorbidities, health expenditures, quality of life. It estimates costs vs. benefits of simulated policy interventions. The outcome is a validated person-level prototype able to simultaneously model diabetes and Cardiovascular Disease (CVD). An illustrative model application is also presented.