A Conceptual Framework for transition modelling. (12th May 2008)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Haxeltine, Alex; Whitmarsh, Lorraine; Bergman, Noam; Rotmans, Jan; Schilperoord, Michel; Kohler, Jonathan
• Is Part Of: International journal of innovation and sustainable development. Volume 3:Number 1/2(2008)
• Page Start: 93
• Page End: 114
• Publication Date: 2008-05-12
• Subjects: sustainability transitions -- conceptual framework -- agent-based modelling -- sustainability assessment -- transition modelling -- simulation -- radical systemic innovation -- transition dynamics -- sociotechnical regimes -- sociotechnical niches -- sustainable development; Sustainable development -- Periodicals; Technological innovations -- Periodicals; 338.92705
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1740-8822

Abstract

This paper presents a Conceptual Framework (CF) for analysing and simulating transition dynamics (or radical systemic innovation) that is broadly consistent with both empirical evidence and current theorising about transitions. The framework distinguishes between a dominant socio-technical regime and a number of socio-technical niches. The central feature of the framework is to describe how niches and regime interact to produce a transition dynamic involving either a transformation or a total overthrow of the dominant regime. We base the analysis on reviews of patterns observed in historical transitions, and provide a framework for analysing the processes involved in producing future 'sustainability transitions'.