Blind faith in the Balkans: trade policy options for South-East Europe. (1st November 2007)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: DeRosa, Dean; Kernohan, David
• Is Part Of: International journal of economic policy in emerging economies. Volume 1:Number 1(2007)
• Page Start: 53
• Page End: 87
• Publication Date: 2007-11-01
• Subjects: transition -- regulation -- international trade -- Balkans -- South-East Europe -- emerging economies -- economic policy -- trade patterns -- institutional structures -- internal trade -- trade agreements -- trade groups -- regional trade -- EU convergence -- European Union; Russia (Federation) -- Economic policy -- 1991- -- Periodicals; Former Soviet republics -- Economic policy -- 1991- -- Periodicals; China -- Economic policy -- 1991- -- Periodicals; 338.947
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1752-0452

Abstract

This paper examines persistent concerns that trade openness in South-East Europe is much less advanced than it was for the former CEECs in the mid to late 1990s. Using econometric tests, we find that trade patterns appear to remain problematic. Second, partial equilibrium simulations are used to examine different institutional structures. These suggest that the present system of regional ties may do little to stimulate internal trade. In view of this, current plans to extend the Stability Pact matrix of bilateral trade agreements into a pan-regional trade group may be inadequate.