Application of Stochastic Methods to Double Cyclostationary Processes for Hourly Wind Speed Simulation. (August 2015)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Dimitriadis, Panayiotis; Koutsoyiannis, Demetris
• Is Part Of: Energy procedia. Volume 76(2015)
• Page Start: 406
• Page End: 411
• Publication Date: 2015-08
• Subjects: hourly wind speed -- double cyclostationarity -- stochastic modelling -- Hurst-Kolmogorov dynamics -- climacogram -- uncertainty-bias -- wind turbine; Power resources -- Congresses; Power resources -- Periodicals; Power resources; Conference proceedings; Periodicals; 333.7905
• DOI: 10.1016/j.egypro.2015.07.851
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1876-6102

Abstract

Abstract: In this paper, we present a methodology to analyze processes of double cyclostationarity (e.g. daily and seasonal). This method preserves the marginal characteristics as well as the dependence structure of a process (through the use of climacogram). It consists of a normalization scheme with two periodicities. Furthermore, we apply it to a meteorological station in Greece and construct a stochastic model capable of preserving the Hurst-Kolmogorov behaviour. Finally, we produce synthetic time-series (based on aggregated Markovian processes) for the purpose of wind speed and energy production simulation (based on a proposed industrial wind turbine).