Joint modeling of longitudinal data and discrete-time survival outcome. (August 2016)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Qiu, Feiyou; Stein, Catherine M; Elston, Robert C
• Other Names: Lawson Andrew B guest-editor.; Lee Duncan guest-editor.; MacNab Ying guest-editor.
• Is Part Of: Statistical methods in medical research. Volume 25:Number 4(2016:Aug.)
• Page Start: 1512
• Page End: 1526
• Publication Date: 2016-08
• Subjects: Joint modeling -- discrete time-to-event -- longitudinal -- nonlinear -- biomarker -- tuberculosis -- immunology; Medicine -- Research -- Statistical methods -- Periodicals; Research -- Periodicals; Review Literature -- Periodicals; Statistics -- methods -- Periodicals; Médecine -- Recherche -- Méthodes statistiques -- Périodiques; 610.727
• DOI: 10.1177/0962280213490342
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0962-2802

Abstract

A predictive joint shared parameter model is proposed for discrete time-to-event and longitudinal data. A discrete survival model with frailty and a generalized linear mixed model for the longitudinal data are joined to predict the probability of events. This joint model focuses on predicting discrete time-to-event outcome, taking advantage of repeated measurements. We show that the probability of an event in a time window can be more precisely predicted by incorporating the longitudinal measurements. The model was investigated by comparison with a two-step model and a discrete-time survival model. Results from both a study on the occurrence of tuberculosis and simulated data show that the joint model is superior to the other models in discrimination ability, especially as the latent variables related to both survival times and the longitudinal measurements depart from 0.