A critical review of the models used to estimate solar radiation. (April 2017)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Zhang, Jianyuan; Zhao, Li; Deng, Shuai; Xu, Weicong; Zhang, Ying
• Is Part Of: Renewable & sustainable energy reviews. Volume 70(2017)
• Page Start: 314
• Page End: 329
• Publication Date: 2017-04
• Subjects: Solar radiation -- Estimation -- Empirical model -- Artificial neural network; Renewable energy sources -- Periodicals; Power resources -- Periodicals; Énergies renouvelables -- Périodiques; Ressources énergétiques -- Périodiques; 333.794
• DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2016.11.124
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1364-0321

Abstract

Abstract: Solar radiation data is critical to the design and operation of solar energy utilization systems, so a large number of models have been proposed and developed to estimate solar radiation in the past ten years. However, the performances of such models are controversial in different studies, and there is a lack of systematic comparison among them. In addition, few studies pay attention to the time scales and practicability of the models. This paper focuses on solving these questions through a critical literature review and the authors believe it can benefit researchers to perform further investigations about solar radiation. This paper reviews and compares the models from the points of view of time scale and estimation type for the first time. Furthermore, a large amount of data about the evaluation metrics (root mean square error and mean absolute percentage error) from different studies is summarized to clarify the performances of proposed models. The questions arising from the processing of source data are also carefully examined. This paper has presented a novel method to compare the estimation models and has provided a detailed analysis on available models. The results indicate that the sunshine duration fraction models and artificial neural networks have similar performances when used to estimate monthly average daily global radiation and daily global radiation, while more work is needed to study the estimation method on smaller time intervals and the mechanisms of atmospheric attenuation for solar radiation. Highlights: The models used to estimate solar radiation on different time scales are classified and analyzed. The values of evaluation metrics from a large number of studies were summarized. We have considered the practicability in comparing the accuracies of existing models.