Technology assessment for a complex aircraft system using technology scenarios. (July 2015)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Soban, Danielle S; Zeune, Cale
• Is Part Of: Journal of defense modeling and simulation. Volume 12:Number 3(2015:Jul.)
• Page Start: 305
• Page End: 318
• Publication Date: 2015-07
• Subjects: Technology infusion -- resource allocation -- military transport -- trade studies -- short takeoff and landing -- technology -- aerodynamics -- Technology Readiness Level; Military art and science -- Computer simulation -- Periodicals; 355.0011305
• DOI: 10.1177/1548512914540230
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1548-5129

Abstract

Military decision makers need to understand and assess the benefits and consequences of their decisions in order to make cost efficient, timely, and successful choices. Technology selection is one such critical decision, especially when considering the design or retrofit of a complex system, such as an aircraft. An integrated and systematic methodology that will support decision making between technology alternatives and options while assessing the consequences of such decisions is a key enabler. This paper demonstrates, through application to a notional medium-range short takeoff and landing aircraft, one such enabler: the Technology Impact Forecasting (TIF) method. The goal of the TIF process is to explore both generic, undefined areas of technology, as well as specific technologies, and assess their potential impacts. This is actualized through the development and use of technology scenarios, and allows the designer to determine where to allocate resources for further technology definition and refinement, as well as provide useful design information. The paper particularly discusses the use of technology scenarios and demonstrates their use in the exploration of seven technologies of varying Technology Readiness Levels.