Cold peace: Arctic conflict in an era of climate change. (13th June 2016)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Ash, John
• Is Part Of: Journal of intelligence and terrorism studies. Volume 1(2016)
• Page Start: 1
• Page End: 13
• Publication Date: 2016-06-13
• Subjects: security -- climate change -- conflict -- intelligence -- arctic; Intelligence service -- Periodicals; Terrorism -- Periodicals; International relations and terrorism -- Periodicals; 327.1
• DOI: 10.22261/MV5JAC
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 2398-6131

Abstract

Abstract: This article addresses the question: " Will conflict become more likely in the Arctic as the climate changes? " Five misconceptions relating to the problem are discussed, and their underlying complexity is exposed. First, the concept that conflict in the Arctic is a novel phenomenon is dismissed. The second misconception examined is the view that climate change makes natural resources easier to win. The lack of any proven link between climate change and violence is refuted in the light of recent research and juxtaposed with the fear that Russia is in some sense attempting to take over the Arctic region. Finally, the concept that Arctic piracy is entirely a feature of history is exposed as a view that is oblivious to current events. The discussion then concludes with the consideration of the implications of this complex problem for intelligence policy.