A preliminary evaluation on the national drug intervention in Thailand: A time series analysis of crime report. (September 2016)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Khruakham, Seksan; Lee, Jonathan
• Is Part Of: Police journal. Volume 89:Number 3(2016:Sep.)
• Page Start: 187
• Page End: 197
• Publication Date: 2016-09
• Subjects: Thailand -- drug intervention -- police -- time series; Police -- Periodicals; Police -- Great Britain -- Periodicals; 363.205
• DOI: 10.1177/0032258X16656325
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0032-258X

Abstract

Thailand initiated national drug intervention across 10 regional police jurisdictions in 2001. Despite the alleged overall success, its impact has not been explored with empirical data. This study examines monthly crime data from 1995 to 2008 using interrupted time series modelling. On average across all regions, the drug crime rate significantly dropped immediately following the initiation. However, its trajectory shows a regression to the pre-intervention level over the course of 60 months. Methodological limitations and policy implications are discussed.