Power transition theory and the rise of China. (September 2015)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Kim, Woosang; Gates, Scott
• Is Part Of: International area studies review. Volume 18:Number 3(2015:Sep.)
• Page Start: 219
• Page End: 226
• Publication Date: 2015-09
• Subjects: Power transition theory -- hegemonic stability -- international system -- system challenger -- China; Area studies -- Periodicals; Area studies -- Korea (South) -- Periodicals; International economic relations -- Periodicals; Globalization -- Economic aspects -- Periodicals; Globalization -- Periodicals; World politics -- Periodicals; 337.05
• DOI: 10.1177/2233865915598545
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 2233-8659

Abstract

Does the rise of China inexorably anticipate the onset of global instability or even a great power war? Today, routine comparisons are made between a rising China with that of Germany over 100 years ago. Organski, in his original explication of power transition theory, however, was far more cautious. Despite predicting the remarkable rise of China nearly 60 years ago in his book (1958), World Politics, Organski was circumspect in predicting a great power war involving China and the United States. This article examines the development of power transition theory by a variety of scholars since Organski. We draw on these developments of power transition theory to analyze the implications of the rise of China. We also introduce the other articles that compose this Special Issue of International Area Studies Review on power transition theory and the rise of China.