Estimating the incidence and 30-day all-cause mortality rate of Escherichia coli bacteraemia in England by 2020/21. Issue 3 (March 2018)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Bhattacharya, A.; Nsonwu, O.; Johnson, A.P.; Hope, R.
• Is Part Of: Journal of hospital infection. Volume 98:Issue 3(2018)
• Page Start: 228
• Page End: 231
• Publication Date: 2018-03
• Subjects: E. coli -- Forecast -- England -- Bacteraemia -- 30-day all-cause mortality -- Case-fatality rate -- Incidence; Cross infection -- Periodicals; Cross infection -- Prevention -- Periodicals; Nosocomial infections -- Periodicals; Nosocomial infections -- Prevention -- Periodicals; Cross Infection -- Periodicals; Cross Infection -- prevention & control -- Periodicals; Infection Control -- Periodicals; Electronic journals; 614.44
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jhin.2017.09.021
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0195-6701

Abstract

Summary: Escherichia coli bacteraemia rates have been increasing in England. Using the national mandatory surveillance data for E. coli bacteraemia from 2012/13 to 2016/17, we aimed to estimate the incidence of E. coli bacteraemia and 30-day all-cause case fatality rate (CFR) by 2020/21 in the absence of new interventions to reduce infection rates. After controlling for age, sex, and hospital versus community-onset of infection, it is estimated that the incidence of E. coli bacteraemia will be 90.5 (95% PI: 89.8–91.3) per 100, 000 population ( N = 50, 663), with an associated CFR of 11.5 (95% PI: 11.2–11.8) per 100, 000 population ( N = 6554), by 2020/21.