Multivariate Markov chain models for production planning. (1st January 2011)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Zhu, Dong-Mei; Ching, Wai-Ki
• Is Part Of: International journal of intelligent engineering informatics. Volume 1: Number 2 (2011)
• Page Start: 156
• Page End: 173
• Publication Date: 2011-01-01
• Subjects: multivariate Markov chain model -- categorical data sequences -- demand prediction -- Newsboy's problem -- production planning -- Hong Kong; Artificial intelligence -- Engineering applications -- Periodicals; Engineering -- Computer programs -- Periodicals; Knowledge management -- Periodicals; 620.0028563
• DOI: 10.1504/IJIEI.2011.040177
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1758-8715

Abstract

Markov models are commonly used in modelling many practical systems such as queueing networks, manufacturing systems and inventory systems. In this paper, we consider a multivariate Markov chain model for modelling multiple categorical data sequences. We develop new efficient estimation methods for the model parameters. We then apply the model and methods to demand predictions and production planning for a soft-drink company in Hong Kong. This problem is essentially a newsboy's problem in a multivariate Markov chain framework. Numerical examples are given to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methods.