19 Things We Learned from the 2016 Election. Issue 1 (1st January 2017)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Gelman, Andrew; Azari, Julia
• Is Part Of: Statistics and public policy. Volume 4:Issue 1(2017)
• Page Start: 1
• Page End: 10
• Publication Date: 2017-01-01
• Subjects: American politics -- Elections -- Political science -- Polling -- Public opinion -- Voting; Policy sciences -- Methodology -- Periodicals; Social sciences -- Statistical methods -- Periodicals; Medical statistics -- Methodology -- Periodicals; Statistics -- Periodicals; Medical statistics -- Methodology; Policy sciences -- Methodology; Social sciences -- Statistical methods; Statistics; Periodicals; 320.60727
• DOI: 10.1080/2330443X.2017.1356775
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 2330-443X

Abstract

ABSTRACT: We can all agree that the presidential election result was a shocker. According to news reports, even the Trump campaign team was stunned to come up a winner. So now seems like a good time to go over various theories floating around in political science and political reporting and see where they stand, now that this turbulent political year has drawn to a close. In the present article, we go through several things that we as political observers and political scientists have learned from the election, and then discuss implications for the future.