High Arctic summer warming tracked by increased Cassiope tetragona growth in the world's northernmost polar desert. (29th May 2017)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Weijers, Stef; Buchwal, Agata; Blok, Daan; Löffler, Jörg; Elberling, Bo
• Is Part Of: Global change biology. Volume 23:Number 11(2017)
• Page Start: 5006
• Page End: 5020
• Publication Date: 2017-05-29
• Subjects: climate change -- dendrochronology -- dendroecology -- dwarf shrubs -- early twentieth‐century warming -- North Atlantic Oscillation -- shrub expansion -- soil moisture -- temperature proxy -- tundra; Climatic changes -- Environmental aspects -- Periodicals; Troposphere -- Environmental aspects -- Periodicals; Biodiversity conservation -- Periodicals; Eutrophication -- Periodicals; 551.5
• DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13747
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1354-1013

Abstract

Abstract: Rapid climate warming has resulted in shrub expansion, mainly of erect deciduous shrubs in the Low Arctic, but the more extreme, sparsely vegetated, cold and dry High Arctic is generally considered to remain resistant to such shrub expansion in the next decades. Dwarf shrub dendrochronology may reveal climatological causes of past changes in growth, but is hindered at many High Arctic sites by short and fragmented instrumental climate records. Moreover, only few High Arctic shrub chronologies cover the recent decade of substantial warming. This study investigated the climatic causes of growth variability of the evergreen dwarf shrub Cassiope tetragona between 1927 and 2012 in the northernmost polar desert at 83°N in North Greenland. We analysed climate–growth relationships over the period with available instrumental data (1950–2012) between a 102‐year‐long C. tetragona shoot length chronology and instrumental climate records from the three nearest meteorological stations, gridded climate data, and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Arctic Oscillation (AO) indices. July extreme maximum temperatures (JulTemx ), as measured at Alert, Canada, June NAO, and previous October AO, together explained 41% of the observed variance in annual C. tetragona growth and likely represent in situ summer temperatures. JulTemx explained 27% and was reconstructed back to 1927. The reconstruction showed relatively high growing season temperatures in the early to mid‐twentieth century, as well as warming in recent decades. The rapid growth increase in C. tetragona shrubs in response to recent High Arctic summer warming shows that recent and future warming might promote an expansion of this evergreen dwarf shrub, mainly through densification of existing shrub patches, at High Arctic sites with sufficient winter snow cover and ample water supply during summer from melting snow and ice as well as thawing permafrost, contrasting earlier notions of limited shrub growth sensitivity to summer warming in the High Arctic. Abstract : Rapid climate warming has resulted in shrub expansion, mainly in the Low Arctic, but the cold and dry High Arctic is generally considered to remain resistant to such shrub expansion in the next decades. This study investigated the climatic causes of growth variability of the evergreen dwarf shrub Cassiope tetragona between 1927 and 2012 in the polar desert of North Greenland, at 83°N. We observed a rapid growth increase of C. tetragona shrubs in response to recent High Arctic summer warming, which shows that recent and future warming might promote an expansion of this evergreen dwarf shrub at High Arctic sites with sufficient winter snow cover and ample water supply during summer from melting snow and ice as well as thawing permafrost.