A Study of the Cyclicity Indicators of the Country's Economic Development. Issue 5 (4th May 2017)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Tiapkina, M.F.; Mongush, I.D.; Akimova, I.O.
• Is Part Of: Problems of economic transition. Volume 59:Issue 5(2017)
• Page Start: 398
• Page End: 409
• Publication Date: 2017-05-04
• Subjects: economic cycles -- cyclical behavior -- crisis -- economic growth -- gross domestic product; Former Soviet republics -- Economic conditions -- Periodicals; Russia (Federation) -- Economic conditions -- Periodicals; Economic history; Russia (Federation); Soviet Union -- Former Soviet republics; Periodicals; 330.947
• DOI: 10.1080/10611991.2017.1352342
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1061-1991

Abstract

Abstract : This article analyzes the main indicators of Russia's economic development (gross domestic product, unemployment rate, consumer price index, fixed investment, and the growth rate of industrial production) in 2000–2013. Such indicators make it possible to construct economic cycles. In addition, this article provides a polynomial forecast for 2014–2015 with respect to the medium-term cycles in the country's economic development. This forecast does not take into account the government's anticyclical policy.