Determination of China's foreign exchange intervention: evidence from the Yuan/Dollar market. Issue 1 (6th March 2017)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Li, He; Yu, Zhixiang; Zhang, Chuanjie; Zhang, Zhuang
• Is Part Of: Studies in economics and finance. Volume 34:Issue 1(2017)
• Page Start: 62
• Page End: 81
• Publication Date: 2017-03-06
• Subjects: China -- Exchange rate policy -- Foreign exchange intervention; Economics -- Periodicals; Finance -- Periodicals; 330
• DOI: 10.1108/SEF-10-2015-0249
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1086-7376

Abstract

Abstract : Purpose: The paper aims to investigate the determinants of China's daily intervention in the foreign exchange market since the 2005 reform aimed at moving the Renminbi (RMB) exchange rate regime towards greater flexibility. Design/methodology/approach: The paper uses bivariate probit models to test whether China's intervention decision is driven by three sets of factors, comprising Model I (basic model), Model II and Model III. Findings: Evidence from the models suggests that medium-term Chinese interventions tend to be leaning-against-the-wind, whereas long-term interventions are leaning-with-the-wind. Furthermore, by analyzing exchange rate volatility, this paper finds that intervention is used by the Chinese central bank to ensure that there are no big swings in the RMB exchange rate. Originality/value: The paper will be of value to other researchers attempting to understand the policy of the central bank and, in particular, the factors that can lead to interventions during periods of financial crisis.