Horizon Scanning for Emergence of New Viruses: From Constructing Complex Scenarios to Online Games. Issue 5 (5th July 2012)
- Record Type:
- Journal Article
- Title:
- Horizon Scanning for Emergence of New Viruses: From Constructing Complex Scenarios to Online Games. Issue 5 (5th July 2012)
- Main Title:
- Horizon Scanning for Emergence of New Viruses: From Constructing Complex Scenarios to Online Games
- Authors:
- Gale, P.
Breed, A. C. - Abstract:
- Summary: Horizon scanning techniques can be developed to identify novel routes and sources for the emergence of viruses in the medium to long term. Central to horizon scanning is prediction of the complex scenarios through which viruses could emerge before they occur. One approach involves 'spidergrams' in which complex scenarios are generated by combining factors randomly selected from different categories of events. Spidergrams provide a framework for how different factors could interact, irrespective of the virus, and also enable testing of combinations not previously considered but which would be 'tested' in nature by a virus. The emergence of viruses through new routes is often related to changes, for example, in environmental and social factors, and the Internet will undoubtedly be used to identify long‐term trends for consideration. In addition, online games may provide horizon scanners with suggestions for new routes and strategies that could be used by emerging viruses.
- Is Part Of:
- Transboundary and emerging diseases. Volume 60:Issue 5(2013)
- Journal:
- Transboundary and emerging diseases
- Issue:
- Volume 60:Issue 5(2013)
- Issue Display:
- Volume 60, Issue 5 (2013)
- Year:
- 2013
- Volume:
- 60
- Issue:
- 5
- Issue Sort Value:
- 2013-0060-0005-0000
- Page Start:
- 472
- Page End:
- 474
- Publication Date:
- 2012-07-05
- Subjects:
- horizon scanning -- emerging viruses -- online games
Veterinary medicine -- Periodicals
636.089 - Journal URLs:
- http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1111/(ISSN)1865-1682 ↗
http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/118541580/home ↗
http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/rd.asp?goto=journal&code=jva ↗
https://www.hindawi.com/journals/schm/contents/ ↗
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/ ↗ - DOI:
- 10.1111/j.1865-1682.2012.01356.x ↗
- Languages:
- English
- ISSNs:
- 1865-1674
- Deposit Type:
- Legaldeposit
- View Content:
- Available online (eLD content is only available in our Reading Rooms) ↗
- Physical Locations:
- British Library DSC - 9020.570100
British Library DSC - BLDSS-3PM
British Library HMNTS - ELD Digital store - Ingest File:
- 725.xml