Beginning Bayes. (March 2017)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Erickson, Tim
• Is Part Of: Teaching statistics. Volume 39:Number 1(2017)
• Page Start: 30
• Page End: 35
• Publication Date: 2017-03
• Subjects: conditional probability -- Bayes -- area diagrams; Statistics -- Study and teaching (Elementary) -- Periodicals; Statistics -- Study and teaching (Secondary) -- Periodicals; 373
• DOI: 10.1111/test.12121
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0141-982X

Abstract

Summary: Understanding a Bayesian perspective demands comfort with conditional probability and with probabilities that appear to change as we acquire additional information. This paper suggests a simple context in conditional probability that helps develop the understanding students would need for a successful introduction to Bayesian reasoning.