"Foresight process impacts: Beyond any official targets, foresight is bound to serve democracy". (January 2017)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Amanatidou, Effie
• Is Part Of: Futures. Volume 85(2017)
• Page Start: 1
• Page End: 13
• Publication Date: 2017-01
• Subjects: Participatory foresight -- Impact assessment -- Public engagement -- Democratic processes in policy-making; Economic forecasting -- Periodicals; Technological forecasting -- Periodicals; Economic policy -- Periodicals; Prévision économique -- Périodiques; Prévision technologique -- Périodiques; Politique économique -- Périodiques; Economic forecasting; Economic policy; Technological forecasting; Periodicals; Electronic journals; 330.0112
• DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2016.11.003
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0016-3287

Abstract

Highlights: The value of foresight has been under-explored beyond impacts on policy. Foresight contributes to the development of more participatory societies. This is done irrespective of the specific 'official' foresight objectives. Foresight is 'by default' devised to promote democratic processes. This is done through the inclusive, open and transparent engagement approaches it applies. Abstract: Foresight is usually criticised for having a limited direct impact on policy-making. Although contexts play a significant role, this may be true to a certain extent. It is also true, however, that the value of foresight has been under-explored. The purpose of the paper is to show the value of foresight in contributing to the development of more participatory societies irrespective of the specific 'official' objectives it is designed to serve. The methodology included the creation of a specific impact assessment framework and the assessment of certain foresight exercises (FNR Foresight and eFORESEE Malta) in terms of contribution to more participatory societies through case studies. The assessment showed that although contributing to more participatory societies was not among the main aims of the particular exercises, they managed to achieve certain impacts facilitating increased public participation or directly improving democratic processes in policy-making. Foresight is 'by default' devised to promote democratic processes through inclusiveness, openness, transparency, public engagement, and multi-stakeholder approaches.