Adversarial Risk Analysis for Urban Security Resource Allocation. Issue 4 (1st March 2016)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Gil, César; Rios Insua, David; Rios, Jesus
• Is Part Of: Risk analysis. Volume 36:Issue 4(2016)
• Page Start: 727
• Page End: 741
• Publication Date: 2016-03-01
• Subjects: Adversarial risk analysis -- decision analysis -- defend‐attack‐defend model -- security -- spatial models; Technology -- Risk assessment -- Periodicals; 658.403
• DOI: 10.1111/risa.12580
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0272-4332

Abstract

Abstract : Adversarial risk analysis (ARA) provides a framework to deal with risks originating from intentional actions of adversaries. We show how ARA may be used to allocate security resources in the protection of urban spaces. We take into account the spatial structure and consider both proactive and reactive measures, in that we aim at both trying to reduce criminality as well as recovering as best as possible from it, should it happen. We deal with the problem by deploying an ARA model over each spatial unit, coordinating the models through resource constraints, value aggregation, and proximity. We illustrate our approach with an example that uncovers several relevant policy issues.