Scenario planning meets frame analysis: Using citizens' frames as test conditions for policy measures. (March 2016)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: van Wijck, Peter; Niemeijer, Bert
• Is Part Of: Futures. Volume 77(2016:Jan.)
• Page Start: 28
• Page End: 44
• Publication Date: 2016-03
• Subjects: Scenario planning -- Frame analysis -- Wind tunnelling -- Policy; Economic forecasting -- Periodicals; Technological forecasting -- Periodicals; Economic policy -- Periodicals; Prévision économique -- Périodiques; Prévision technologique -- Périodiques; Politique économique -- Périodiques; Economic forecasting; Economic policy; Technological forecasting; Periodicals; Electronic journals; 330.0112
• DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2016.01.005
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0016-3287

Abstract

Highlights: We present a framework that combines insights from scenario planning and frame analysis. The framework consists of three elements: policy frame, contrasting citizens frames, wind tunnelling. The framework helps policy-makers to anticipate diverse reactions to policy-measures. We analyse two cases in the justice domain. Abstract: Policy-makers expect that policy measures will lead to specific results. Generally, not all citizens respond as expected. One of the potential reasons is that citizens' frames do not always align with the policy frame. Combining insights from the literature on frame analysis and scenario planning, especially the idea of wind tunnelling, this paper presents a conceptual framework in which citizens' frames are used as test conditions for policy measures. The framework consists of three steps: the reconstruction of a policy frame, the reconstruction of contrasting citizens' frames and wind tunnelling. We studied two cases in the justice domain. The results indicate that the framework induces policy-makers to look beyond the official policy frame, to anticipate diverse reactions to policy measures, and to consider a broader set of policy options.