Puzzling, powering and perpetuating: Long-term decision-making by the Dutch Delta Committee. (February 2016)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: van der Steen, Martijn; Chin-A-Fat, Nancy; Vink, Martinus; van Twist, Mark
• Is Part Of: Futures. Volume 76(2015:Dec.)
• Page Start: 7
• Page End: 17
• Publication Date: 2016-02
• Subjects: Long-term decision making -- Policy -- Scenarios -- Climate issues -- Government; Economic forecasting -- Periodicals; Technological forecasting -- Periodicals; Economic policy -- Periodicals; Prévision économique -- Périodiques; Prévision technologique -- Périodiques; Politique économique -- Périodiques; Economic forecasting; Economic policy; Technological forecasting; Periodicals; Electronic journals; 330.0112
• DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2016.01.001
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0016-3287

Abstract

Highlights: We analyze the case of the Second Delta Committee as an example of how to secure long-term decision-making. The article uses the theoretical lens of puzzling and powering, but adds a third element to that, perpetuating. Our analysis shows strategies of puzzling, powering, and perpetuating to solve the long-term policy issue of climate adaptation. Abstract: Long term policy issues like climate change adaptation are considered wicked in the sense that uncertain knowledge and volatile societal understandings associated to the issue might jeopardize long term sustainment of adaptation policies. Uncertainty or sudden societal opposition might politically be employed to dismantle earlier made policies or investments and therefore threaten long term adaptive capacity. This article highlights how successful long-term decision-making can be understood as a matter of puzzling over uncertainty and powering for getting things done, but above all requires sustainment of these decisions on the long term. For doing so the paper analyses the decision-making process of the Dutch Delta Committee in 2008, which firmly put the climate adaptation issue on the Dutch political agenda and subsequently sustained the issue on the policy agenda through the creation of a Delta Commissioner, a Delta Fund and a Delta Act. Our analysis illustrates how the crucial actors in and around the Second Delta Committee deployed strategies of puzzling, powering, and what we define as perpetuation to deal with the long-term policy issue of climate adaptation. The latter is especially important for policy issues that require a long-term continued effort by policy-makers, or will only manifest themselves on the long term. Then, it is not only important to create meaning and organize power now, but also to maintain and ensure that meaning and power for time to come.