Role of innovative technologies under the global zero emissions scenarios. (15th January 2016)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Tokimatsu, Koji; Konishi, Satoshi; Ishihara, Keiichi; Tezuka, Tetsuo; Yasuoka, Rieko; Nishio, Masahiro
• Is Part Of: Applied energy. Volume 162(2016)
• Page Start: 1483
• Page End: 1493
• Publication Date: 2016-01-15
• Subjects: BAU business-as-usual -- BDF biodiesel fuel -- BECCS biomass energy with carbon capture and storage -- CCS carbon capture and storage -- CHP combined heat and power -- CSP concentrated solar power -- DRI directly reduced iron -- ECP extended concentration pathway -- EJ Exa Joule -- EV electric vehicle -- FBR fast breeder reactor -- FCV fuel cell vehicles -- FECCS fossil energy with carbon capture and storage -- FT Fischer–Tropsch -- GHG greenhouse gas -- GtC Giga ton of Carbon -- HTGR high temperature gas cooling reactor -- IBGCC integrated biomass gasification combined cycle -- ICE internal combustion engine -- IEA International Energy Agency -- IGCC integrated gasification combined cycle -- IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis -- IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change -- IPCC-AR4 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change – 4th Assessment Report -- IPCC-AR5 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change – 5th Assessment Report -- LWR light water reactor -- MTOE million ton of oil equivalent per year -- MoMo Mobility Model -- OTEC ocean thermal energy conversion -- PHEV plug-in hybrid electric vehicle -- ppmv parts per million by volume -- PV photovoltaics -- RCP representative concentration pathway -- SMP Small Mobility Project -- SRCCS Special Report on Carbon Capture and Storage -- SRES Special Report on Emissions Scenarios -- SRREN Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation -- SSP shared socioeconomic pathway -- SSPS space solar power system -- UN United Nations -- UNFCCC United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change -- WBCSD World Business Council for Sustainable Development -- WEC World Energy Council -- WP wind power -- WRE Wigley, Richels, Edmonds; Zero emission -- BECCS -- SRES -- A1T scenario; Power (Mechanics) -- Periodicals; Energy conservation -- Periodicals; Energy conversion -- Periodicals; 621.042
• DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.02.051
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0306-2619

Abstract

Highlights: We modeled a zero emissions scenario based on the A1T scenario of IPCC-SRES. We conducted global modeling by minimizing costs of energy, biomass, and materials. A variety of advanced technology innovations were considered and incorporated. Results suggest that zero emissions scenario may be possible in this century. We revealed energy supply structure under the zero emissions scenarios. Abstract: This study investigated zero emissions scenarios with following two originalities compared to various existing studies. One is that we based on A1T society of SRES (Special Report on Emissions Scenario) of IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) compared to existing studies on those of B1 or B2. The second one is that various innovative technologies were considered and incorporated, such as biomass energy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS), and advanced nuclear technologies including hydrogen or synfuel production. We conducted global modeling over the period 2010–2150 in which energy, materials, and biomass and foods supply costs were minimized by linear programming. We found following features of energy supply structure in A1T scenario. Since the electric demand in A1T scenario in 2100 is two times larger than the others, (1) renewable energy which solely produce electricity, nuclear, and fossil energy with CCS (FECCS) especially coal are main sources of electricity, (2) renewable which can supply heat, namely BECCS and geothermal, satisfies the sector, and (3) hydrogen from coal is introduced in transport sector. It can be concluded that the zero emission energy systems with global economic growth will be possible, by development and deployment of ambitious advanced energy technologies.