Analysis of energy security and sustainability in future low carbon scenarios for Brazil. (21st January 2016)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Lima, Fátima; Portugal‐Pereira, Joana; Lucena, André F.P.; Rochedo, Pedro; Cunha, Jorge; Lopes Nunes, Manuel; Szklo, Alexandre Salem
• Is Part Of: Natural resources forum. Volume 39:Number 3/4(2015:Aug.)
• Page Start: 175
• Page End: 190
• Publication Date: 2016-01-21
• Subjects: Energy assessment modelling -- energy security of supply -- life cycle assessment -- climate change mitigation -- Brazil; Power resources -- Periodicals; 333.7
• DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12081
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0165-0203

Abstract

Abstract: This study estimated a series of indicators to assess the energy security of supply and global and local environmental impacts under different mitigation scenarios through 2050 in Brazil, designed with the integrated optimization energy system model MESSAGE‐BRAZIL. The assessment of interactions between environmental impacts and energy security dimensions was complemented through the application of life cycle assessment (LCA) methodology. Overall results imply energy security establishes more synergies than trade‐offs in increasingly stringent mitigation scenarios, especially patent within the sustainability dimension, which increases energy security and provides additional benefits regarding climate change mitigation and air pollution emissions. It is still necessary to extend analysis to other energy sectors in addition to the power supply sector and to promote a better understanding of repercussions of energy scenario expansion in energy security.