Estimation of a possible maximum flood event in the Tone River basin, Japan caused by a tropical cyclone. Issue 23 (20th May 2013)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Ishikawa, Hirohiko; Oku, Yuichiro; Kim, Sunmin; Takemi, Tetsuya; Yoshino, Jun; Murakami, Shigeki; Tsujimura, Maki; Yamashiki, Yosuke
• Is Part Of: Hydrological processes. Volume 27:Issue 23(2013:Nov. 15)
• Page Start: 3292
• Page End: 3300
• Publication Date: 2013-05-20
• Subjects: Hydrology -- Periodicals; Hydrology -- Research -- Periodicals; Hydrologic models -- Periodicals; Hydrological forecasting -- Periodicals; 631.432
• DOI: 10.1002/hyp.9830
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0885-6087

Abstract

<abstract abstract-type="main"> <title>Abstract</title> <p>The damage to society caused by tropical cyclones depends largely on the storm track relative to geography. A procedure is proposed to generate different typhoon tracks deviating from the original track of a given reference case. In this procedure, the position of a typhoon is artificially shifted at a certain time before landing in a physically consistent way by applying potential vorticity inversion methodology. After shifting the typhoon position, the subsequent progress is again simulated by a mesoscale weather model. The procedure is applied to a strong typhoon that emerged in a global warming experiment using an atmospheric general circulation model. Various realizations of typhoon landfall cases are generated. Using the output of a suite of realization of different tracks, the worst case scenario is discussed in terms of the river discharge in the Tone River basin, Japan. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley &amp; Sons, Ltd.</p> </abstract>