Business cycles in the run of history. ([2016])

• Record Type: Book
• Further Information: Note: Thierry Aimar, Francis Bismans, Claude Diebolt ; in collaboration with Reynald Majetti and Zohra Rabah.
• Authors: Aimar, Thierry; Bismans, Francis; Diebolt, Claude, 1967-
• Other Names: Majetti, Reynald; Rabah, Zohra
• Contents: 1 Introduction; Abstract ; Reference; 2 Theory; Abstract ; 2.1 The "Old Decennial Cycle" and Its Theorizations; 2.1.1 Industrial Crises; 2.1.2 Classical Business Cycles; 2.2 The Years of High Theory; 2.2.1 Austrian Theory; 2.2.2 The Keynesian Revolution; 2.3 Keynesianism and Around; 2.3.1 The Keynesian School; 2.3.2 The Samuelson-Hicks Model; 2.3.3 "Non-linear" Contributions of Goodwin and Allais; 2.4 The Statistical and Econometric Approaches; 2.4.1 The First Steps; 2.4.2 The "Tinbergen Moment"; 2.4.3 Towards Large Scale Models; References; 3 Empirics; Abstract. 3.1 Towards New Approaches of the Cycle3.1.1 The Decomposition of the Neo-Classical Synthesis; 3.1.2 Equilibrium Cycles; 3.1.3 Unorthodox Theories: Minsky; 3.1.4 Unorthodox Theories: Hayek; 3.2 Long Cycles; 3.2.1 From the Precursors; 3.2.2 To the Schumpeterian Tradition; 3.3 The Empirics of Business Cycle Analysis; 3.3.1 What Is the Business Cycle?; 3.3.2 Measuring and Dating the Business Cycle; References; 4 Dating; Abstract ; 4.1 Methodology; 4.1.1 Markov-Switching Models; 4.1.2 Estimation; 4.1.3 Testing for Nonlinearity; 4.2 Dating the French Business Cycle; 4.2.1 Data and Models. 4.2.2 Estimation and Results (I)4.2.3 Estimations and Results (II); 4.3 The Case of South Africa; 4.3.1 Model and Data; 4.3.2 Estimation and Tests; 4.3.3 A Chronology of the Business Cycle; 4.3.4 A Brief Comparison; References; 5 Forecasting; Abstract ; 5.1 Chronology and Features of the German Cycle; 5.1.1 BBQ Algorithm; 5.1.2 Some Characteristics of the German Cycle; 5.2 The Econometric Model; 5.2.1 The Dynamic Probit; 5.2.2 Empirical Model; 5.2.3 In-Sample Prediction; 5.3 Forecasting in Real Time; 5.3.1 The Predicting Method; 5.3.2 Forecasting the Recessions After 2005; References. 6 AfterwordAbstract ; 6.1 A Plea for a New Econometrics-Based Macroeconomics; 6.2 The Standard Macroeconomic Model; 6.3 A Critical Evaluation; 6.4 The Turmoil of the 2007-2008 Crisis; 6.5 Macroeconomics Otherwise; References.
• Publisher Details: Cham New York : Springer
• Publication Date: 2016
• Copyright Date: 2016
• Extent: 1 online resource (vi, 94 pages)
• Subjects: 338.542; Economics; Business cycles; Economics -- History; Economic history; BUSINESS & ECONOMICS -- Industries -- General; Business cycles; Economic history; Economics; Economics; History of Economic Thought/Methodology; Economic Growth; History, general; Methodology of the Social Sciences; Business & Economics -- Development -- Economic Development; History -- General; Social Science -- Methodology; Economic growth; History; Social research & statistics; Management science; Economic growth; History; Social sciences -- Methodology; Business & Economics -- Economics -- General; Economic history; Electronic books; History
• Languages: English
• ISBNs: 9783319243252
• Related ISBNs: 331924325X; 9783319243238; 3319243233
• Notes: Note: Includes bibliographical references at the end of each chapters.; Note: Online resource; title from PDF title page (EBSCO, viewed December 15, 2015).
• Access Rights: Legal Deposit; Only available on premises controlled by the deposit library and to one user at any one time; The Legal Deposit Libraries (Non-Print Works) Regulations (UK).
• Access Usage: Restricted: Printing from this resource is governed by The Legal Deposit Libraries (Non-Print Works) Regulations (UK) and UK copyright law currently in force.