Business forecasting : practical problems and solutions /: practical problems and solutions. (2015)

• Record Type: Book
• Further Information: Note: Edited by Michael Gilliland, Udo Sglavo, Len Tashman.
• Editors: Gilliland, Michael; Sglavo, Udo, 1968-; Tashman, Len, 1942-
• Contents: Foreword Preface Chapter 1 Fundamental Considerations in Business Forecasting 1.1 Getting Real About Uncertainty (Goodwin - Foresight) 1.2 What Demand Planners Can Learn from the Stock Market (ReCorr – JBF) 1.3 Toward a More Precise Definition of Forecastability (Boylan - Foresight) 1.4 Forecastability: A New Method (Schubert - Foresight) 1.5 Forecast Errors and Their Avoidability (Morlidge - Foresight) 1.6 The Perils of Benchmarking (Gilliland – APICS eNews) 1.7 Can We Obtain Valid Benchmarks from Published Surveys of Forecast Accuracy? (Kolassa - Foresight) 1.8 Defining ‘Demand’ for Demand Forecasting (Gilliland - Foresight) 1.9 Using Forecasting to Steer the Business: Six Principles (Morlidge - Foresight) 1.10 The Beauty of Forecasting (Orrell – Foresight) Chapter 2 Methods of Statistical Forecasting 2.1 Confessions of a Pragmatic Forecaster (Chatfield - Foresight) 2.2 New Evidence on the Value of Combining Forecasts (Goodwin - Foresight) 2.3 How to Forecast Data Containing Outliers (Stellwagen – Trends Newsletter) 2.4 Selecting Your Statistical Forecasting Level (Stellwagen – ForecastPro blog) 2.5 When is a Flat-line Forecast Appropriate (Stellwagen – ForecastPro blog) 2.6 Forecasting by Time Compression (Sglavo – SAS whitepaper) 2.7 Data Mining for Forecasting: An Introduction (Wells & Rey – new content – adapt from book) 2.8 Process and Methods for Data Mining for Forecasting (Wells & Rey – new content – adapt from book) 2.9 Worst-Case Scenarios in Forecasting: How Bad Can Things Get (Batchelor - Foresight) 2.10 Good Patterns, Bad Patterns (Batchelor - Foresight) Chapter 3 Forecasting Performance Evaluation &and Reporting 3.1 Dos and Don’ts of Forecast Accuracy Measurement: A Tutorial (Tashman – Foresight) 3.2 How to Track Forecast Accuracy to Guide Forecast Process Improvement (Hoover - Foresight) 3.3 A “Softer” Approach to the Measurement of Forecast Accuracy (Boylan - Foresight) 3.4 Measuring Forecast Accuracy (Hyndman – new content) 3.5 Should We Define Forecast Error as e = F − A or e = A − F? (Green & Tashman - Foresight) 3.6 Percentage Error: What Denominator? (Green & Tashman - Foresight) 3.7 Percentage Errors Can Ruin Your Day (Kolassa & Martin - Foresight) 3.8 Another Look at Forecast-Accuracy Metrics for Intermittent Demand (Hyndman – Foresight) 3.9 Advantages of the MAD/Mean Ratio Over the MAPE (Kolassa & Schutz - Foresight) 3.10 Use Scaled Errors Instead of Percentage Errors in Forecast Evaluations (Valentin - Foresight) 3.11 An Expanded Prediction-Realization Diagram for Assessing Forecast Errors (Pearson – Foresight) 3.12 Forecast Error Measures: Critical Review and Practical Recommendations (Davydenko & Fildes – adapt from IJF) 3.13 Measuring the Quality of Intermittent Demand Forecasts: It’s Worse than We’ve Thought! (Steve Morlidge – Foresight) 3.14 Managing Forecasts by Exception (Stellwagen – ForecastPro blog) 3.15 Using Process Behaviour Charts to Improve Forecasting and Decision-Making (Joseph & Finney - Foresight) 3.16 Can Your Forecast Beat the Naïve Forecast (Snapp – SCMFocus blog) Chapter 4 Process and Politics of Business Forecasting 4.1 FVA: A Reality Check on Forecasting Practices (Gilliland - Foresight) 4.2 Where Should the Forecasting Function Reside (Lapide –JBF)[AU: Spell out JBF] 4.3 Setting Performance Objectives (Gilliland – BFD blog)[AU: spell out BFD.] 4.4 Using Relative Error Metrics to Improve Forecast Quality in the Supply Chain (Morlidge - Foresight) 4.5 Why Should I Trust Your Forecasts (Gonul, Onkal & Goodwin - Foresight) 4.6 High on Complexity, Low on Evidence: Are Advanced Forecasting Methods Always as Good as They Seem? (Goodwin - Foresight) 4.7 Should the Forecasting Process Eliminate Face-to-Face Meetings? (Armstrong – Foresight) 4.8 The Impact of Sales Forecast Game Playing on Supply Chains (Mello - Foresight) 4.9 Role of the Sales Force in Forecasting (Gilliland - Foresight) 4.10 Good and Bad Judgment in Forecasting (Fildes & Goodwin - Foresight) 4.11 Worst practices in new product forecasting (Gilliland - JBF) 4.12 Sales & Operations Planning in the Retail Industry (Harwell – JBF) 4.13 Sales & Operations Planning: Where Is It Going? (Wallace – JBF) Index
• Publisher Details: Place of publication not identified : Wiley
• Publication Date: 2015
• Extent: 1 online resource (416 pages)
• Subjects: 658.4/0355; Business forecasting; BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Forecasting
• Languages: English
• ISBNs: 9781119228271
• Access Rights: Legal Deposit; Only available on premises controlled by the deposit library and to one user at any one time; The Legal Deposit Libraries (Non-Print Works) Regulations (UK).
• Access Usage: Restricted: Printing from this resource is governed by The Legal Deposit Libraries (Non-Print Works) Regulations (UK) and UK copyright law currently in force.